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⛑2025-10-02 14:38 🕗MBAChina⤵【
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Exeter welcome Lincoln for this English League One round 16 battle at St James Park in Exeter Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the 3rd-level of English football – and clearly the best 3rd.tier on the planet. A match of better than average quality by this league’s standards is on the cards here. Most importantly, we have yet another excellent betting opportunity here. We have won seven picks in a row seven picks in a row! Lincoln were much better than Exeter last season already. They finished in 7th place – Exeter ended up in 13th place. Lincoln took 13 points more than Exeter. At the moment Lincoln are in 5th place with a fine 25 points to their account. They have scored 21 goals and have allowed 17 goals. The Exeter offense has been very lame – the hosts have netted the ball only 14 times in this league. Yes, their defence has been pretty good – and have conceded only 10 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is significantly bigger. Last season Lincoln allowed 21 goals less than Exeter. The teams last locked horns in February and Lincoln won 1-0 at home. They recorded many more goal attempts (13-6), shots on goal and shots off target. The xG numbers were 1.23-0.37.
I want to highlight that Lincoln have not lost any of their last five matches – winning 4/5. In their last match Lincoln crushed Manchester City U21 5-0 at hoer! They recorded a great 19 goal attempts and 11 shots on goal. The visitors managed only two! Before this Lincoln had to settle for a 1-1 draw with Bristol Rovers on the road. However, Lincoln recorded several more goal attempts and shots on target. In fact, Bristol C managed just one of the latter. Before this Lincoln crushed Chesham 4-0 on the road in a FA Cup clash. On the 29th of October Lincoln deservedly defeated Northampton 2-1 at home. Before this Lincoln were the better team on the pitch at home against Stockport County. They recorded six more goal attempts and allowed the visitors only two shots on target. Exeter have won three of their last five games, losing 2/5. In their most recent match, they beat Charlton 1-0 at home as favorites – priced around 2.30 to win. However, the visitors generated 1.22 in xG - Exeter managed only 0.62. Before this Exeter beat a very small team, Barnet, 5-3 at home but failed to impress me. Barnet were leading 3-2 until the 84th minute.. On the 29th of last month Exeter defeated Bristol Rovers 3-2 in the FA Cup but the game was somewhat balanced. Both teams had nine goal attempts. Before this Exeter were poor – losing to Huddersfield 0-2 on the road. The visitors managed only one shot on goal. In round 13 Exeter were okay as a whole but lost to Reading 1-2 at home as pretty clear favorites on the betting market. Exeter recorded one more shot on goal – 6-5 to be precise.